Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000987 1.130573e-03 0.001276 0.001435 0.001602 0.001772 0.001958
2025-04-20 0.000717 9.145806e-04 0.001124 0.001360 0.001616 0.001883 0.002183
2025-04-27 0.000507 7.345875e-04 0.000987 0.001283 0.001613 0.001967 0.002369
2025-05-04 0.000406 6.616065e-04 0.000959 0.001317 0.001726 0.002170 0.002683
2025-05-11 0.000269 5.274416e-04 0.000846 0.001245 0.001712 0.002229 0.002835
2025-05-18 0.000158 4.023622e-04 0.000730 0.001157 0.001672 0.002253 0.002943
2025-05-25 0.000093 3.264328e-04 0.000665 0.001125 0.001691 0.002340 0.003118
2025-06-01 0.000040 2.453411e-04 0.000583 0.001062 0.001669 0.002375 0.003231
2025-06-08 0.000014 1.971949e-04 0.000539 0.001045 0.001698 0.002467 0.003406
2025-06-15 0.000006 1.835158e-04 0.000544 0.001091 0.001804 0.002649 0.003685
2025-06-22 NaN 1.411184e-04 0.000498 0.001063 0.001815 0.002716 0.003829
2025-06-29 NaN 1.146996e-04 0.000473 0.001062 0.001858 0.002820 0.004015
2025-07-06 NaN 9.913509e-05 0.000476 0.001117 0.001996 0.003065 0.004399
2025-07-13 NaN 5.308129e-05 0.000405 0.001062 0.001990 0.003138 0.004584
2025-07-20 NaN 1.962073e-05 0.000336 0.001001 0.001974 0.003197 0.004753
2025-07-27 NaN 1.111002e-05 0.000329 0.001036 0.002087 0.003417 0.005115
2025-08-03 NaN 4.280554e-08 0.000268 0.000975 0.002065 0.003466 0.005272
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000205 0.000898 0.002017 0.003480 0.005384
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000171 0.000871 0.002035 0.003576 0.005594
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000129 0.000816 0.002010 0.003614 0.005731
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000108 0.000801 0.002041 0.003723 0.005955
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000111 0.000842 0.002157 0.003945 0.006317
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000088 0.000818 0.002171 0.004030 0.006510